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新年伊始 中国放松货币政策




根据华尔街日报的报道,中国官员在新年伊始释放了货币政策将趋向宽松的信号。预计新的一年中国这个全球第二大经济体将面临新的挑战。

中国央行表示,将把商业银行的存款准备金率下调0.5个百分点,此举实质上可向金融系统释放人民币8,000亿元(合1,150亿美元)资金。

这一决定已于1月6日周一生效。交通银行(Bank Of Communications)驻上海经济学家刘学智称,这一在普遍预料中的决定正值春节前夕预计流动性将吃紧之际。今年春节在1月下旬。

今天你也许关心的话题:

加国人士:为什么准许752航班出现在火药味浓烈的德黑兰上空?!
杨医师之死
从“难得糊涂”谈起

想要阅读与本文有关的话题?请点击本文末的链接!



刘学智表示,通过在2020年首日释放银行流动性,中国央行发出一个明确信息,即今年的政策立场不会收紧。

未来十年面临的挑战将考验北京方面的政策制定能力。随着世界各地贸易壁垒不断增加,中国相关部门不能再指望长期以来曾维持中国快速增长势头的那种外国投资或出口。他们认为,解决办法是建立一个更有效率的、内向型经济,同时控制债务规模。

这次放松政策之举较为温和,体现出经济继续转型之际,当局较为审慎。但推动信贷成本温和下降旨在避免出现任何新的借贷狂潮,尤其是在房地产领域。

中国央行在一份声明中称,此举反映出该行试图以“保持灵活适度,不搞大水漫灌”的方式管理流动性。

降准生效后,大多数大型银行的法定存款准备金率将从13%降至12.5%,而小型银行的存款准备金率将从11%降至10.5%。中国2019年三次下调银行存款准备金率。

中国央行表示,最新的降准举措还旨在为向新基准利率的过渡提供更多资金支持。中国相关部门认为新基准利率将有利于激发市场主体活力。上周末,中国央行要求银行用这一新利率为未偿还贷款定价。



中国政府一直在推动银行向规模较小的民营企业发放更多贷款,这些企业是中国经济的关键推动力,但一直难以获得低息贷款。

去年12月,中国国务院总理李克强承诺将鼓励银行向这些资金紧张的企业提供更多贷款。李克强已警告称,中国经济2020年将面临更多压力。

中国消费物价正以近十年来最快的速度上升,而经济增长则处于30年来最低水平。雪上加霜的是,经济学家预测,作为中国2019年经济增长主要驱动力的房地产市场今年可能开始降温。

过去一年,中国政府加大了提振经济的力度,采取了增加基础设施投资等措施。

经济学家预计,中国政府将把今年的经济增长目标从去年的6%-6.5%下调至6%左右。

交通银行的刘学智称,尽管预计中美将在本月晚些时候签署一项初步贸易协议,但全球经济增长放缓和国内需求疲软将继续对中国经济构成挑战。

他表示,中国经济最近出现了一些企稳迹象,但放缓走势可能延续。



我们鼓励所有读者在我们的文章和博客上分享意见。We are committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion, so we ask you to avoid personal attacks, and please keep your comments relevant and respectful. Visit the FAQ page for more information.

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