民调显示：移民子女比父母一代更倾向支持自由党（观点，中英对照）

一项由Nanos Research最近发布的调查显示，加拿大移民社区内部的政治倾向正在悄然改变。尽管第一代和第二代加拿大人仍然明显倾向于支持自由党，但在加拿大境外出生的第一代移民中，自由党与保守党的支持率差距正在缩小。目前，在这部分移民群体中，46%的人表示支持自由党，而42.7%的人倾向于支持保守党，差距仅为3.3个百分点。相比之下，第二代加国移民对自由党的支持率高出保守党近10个百分点。这一趋势表明，移民社区内部正在悄然经历一场值得关注的政治倾向的变化。

A recent Nanos Research survey highlights an important shift within Canada’s immigrant community. Although first- and second-generation Canadians still show a clear preference for the Liberals, immigrants who were born outside Canada are becoming more divided between the Liberals and Conservatives. Among those born outside Canada, Liberal support stands at 46 per cent versus 42.7 per cent for the Conservatives — a slim 3.3-point difference. By contrast, second-generation Canadians favor the Liberals by nearly 10 points. This pattern suggests a quiet but notable political realignment is taking place within immigrant communities.

部分原因来源于经济压力这一现实。和所有加拿大人一样，移民群体也面临应对房价飙升、通货膨胀持续以及生活成本危机等带来的沉重负担之挑战。对许多第一代移民而言，这种失望感尤为强烈。他们怀揣着对经济稳定和财务繁荣的美好憧憬来到加拿大，却发现这些梦想正变得越来越难以实现。与此同时，保守党提出的财政紧缩、减税和削减政府开支的承诺，使更多的第一代移得到认同。毕竟，许多移民本就有着根深蒂固的强调个人责任、节俭精神以及小政府理念的文化背景。

Part of the explanation lies in economic realities. Like all Canadians, immigrants are grappling with the pressures of soaring housing costs, persistent inflation, and an overall cost-of-living crisis. For many immigrants, the disappointment is particularly acute. They arrived in Canada with high hopes of economic stability and upward mobility, only to find those dreams increasingly out of reach. Against this backdrop, Conservative promises of fiscal restraint, lower taxes, and reduced government spending are finding a more receptive audience among some first-generation immigrants. After all, many immigrants come from cultures where personal responsibility, thrift, and small government are deeply valued.

代际差异还在更深的政治层面中体现出来。作为移民父母一代，他们因经历了背井离乡艰辛及所作出的牺牲，往往更强调经济务实与政治上的保守。而在加拿大公共教育体系和社会文化环境中长大的子女与孙辈，则更自然地倾向于接受自由民主的价值观。由于从小耳濡目染，他们早已将平等、多元文化、环保理念以及对公共服务的重视内化为自身认同的一部分。与父母辈不同，这一代人并无远在他乡的生活经历，因此对进步主义政治理念的认同也比其父辈更加自然和直接。

Yet another layer deepens the generational divide. Immigrant parents, shaped by sacrifice and the hardships of uprooting their lives, often prioritize economic pragmatism and political caution. Their children and grandchildren, however, raised in Canada’s public education system and social culture, are more naturally inclined toward liberal democratic values. Equality, multiculturalism, environmental protection, and strong public services are ideals they have absorbed from an early age. Unlike their parents, they have no direct memory of life before Canada and therefore embrace progressive politics more readily.

但尽管被经济上的挫败感日益困扰，第一代移民对自由党的支持度仍然高于许多在加拿大本地出生的选民。这种现象反映出他们对政治稳定和制度体系更深层的信任和向往。许多移民，尤其是来自威权统治或局势动荡国家的人们，对那些承诺要迅速改变现状的民粹主义运动格外警惕，不易认同。他们记得哈珀政府时期推行的一系列排斥性政策，包括从削减难民医疗服务到鼓吹所谓“野蛮文化行为”等言论，因此对这类倾向的复苏持有格外戒心。此外，多项调查显示，相比于本地出生的加拿大人，移民群体对法院、医疗体系和政府等机构普遍持有更高程度的信任。这种信任也在一定程度上阻碍了他们对攻击现有制度的政治倾向的认同与接受。

Despite growing economic frustrations, first-generation immigrants still show stronger support for the Liberals than many native-born Canadians. This persistence reflects a deeper trust in political stability and institutions. Many immigrants, particularly those from authoritarian or unstable regions, are cautious of populist movements that promise rapid change. They remember the Harper government’s more exclusionary policies — from cuts to refugee healthcare to rhetoric about "barbaric cultural practices" — and they remain wary of similar dynamics resurfacing. Moreover, surveys consistently show that immigrants tend to trust Canadian institutions — courts, healthcare, government — more than the native-born population. This trust tempers their willingness to embrace political movements that attack the system itself.

归根结底，Nanos的调查揭示的不仅仅是政治倾向的差异，更展现了移民社区不同代际之间的深刻差异。尽管第一代移民在政治上仍然坚持稳定与谨慎，但他们正越来越切身感受到经济困境带来的压力，并对保守党的部分经济理念表现出更为接受态度。相比之下，他们在加拿大出生的子女则成长于一个截然不同的政治与社会环境中——平等、多元文化、社会责任等自由民主价值观从小便深深植入他们的认知之中。这种代际之间的差异对比，不仅塑造了各自不同的投票模式，也深刻影响了他们对国家未来的态度与期待。

Ultimately, the Nanos survey reveals more than just a political preference; it exposes the generational imprint left by immigration itself. Although first-generation immigrants remain anchored to political stability and caution, they increasingly feel the strain of economic hardships and are growing more open to Conservative economic ideas. Their Canadian-born children, by contrast, grow up in a different political and social landscape — one where liberal democratic values such as equality, multiculturalism, and social responsibility are deeply ingrained from an early age. This contrast shapes not only voting patterns but also broader attitudes toward the future of the country.

虽然移民社区所存在的共识能抵御民粹主义种种承诺的诱惑，移民社区也呈现出代际上的政治差异。在当今动荡不安的政治气候下，这些细微的差异不仅持续影响着选民的投票倾向，也深刻塑造着他们对变革、风险以及国家未来的各种认知和观点。

A general consensus persists among the broader community that outweighs the allure of populist promise. Yet that consensus is increasingly tested by the division across generations. In today’s volatile political climate, these subtle but growing divides are shaping not just voting patterns, but also deeper attitudes toward change, risk, and what the future of the country might hold.