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谁来接位熙尔




联邦保守党领袖熙尔,在党内压力下辞去党领职位。之前他欲极力坚持到明年4月保守党全会,来定夺党领之位。作为坚持的一部分,他曾革职其高级助手通讯主任Leclare和竞选主任Marshall,以期平息党内对未能击败自由党而胜选的不满,未果因而宣布辞职。至于超支保守党年度办公开销70万,以及挪用党的基金付其子女的学费之事,如果胜选或成为加国总理,则这些连根鸡毛都不是。大选年多点开支本很正常,因工作地点变动补贴子女的学费保守党内也有陈规。其实熙尔在党内口碑并不坏,为人也很努力,这次大选的成绩实际是比以前有所提高的(将自由党从多数政府降为了少数执政)。党内部分人的不满,其实是对未能如愿夺回政权之选举结果的失望。

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自熙尔宣布退位,外界对保守党领的继任者广泛期待和猜测。比较热门的有前代理党领Rona Ambrose(有对保守党内调查具27%支持),有前阁员进步保守党创党者之一的Peter Mckey(有党内20%支持度);有前阁员Erin O’Toole,和西部阿省省长肯尼、BC前省长Clark、萨省省长及东部NB省长等,甚至还有前保守党总理穆隆尼的公子银行家Mark Mulroney等( 这些人的支持度均在10%以下)。

据说肯尼现时对党领职并不热衷,或许有避嫌合流西部分离思潮的考量。西部众人的出现将被看作西部分离或西部疏远思潮的必然反映也罢,或者以西部崛起为契机染指联邦权力层也好,大概都说得过去。而东部保守党人的出头,则是保守党内对加国政治东西博弈态势的自然反应和平衡。近来不大听得到西部保守党耆宿曼宁的公开言论,而另一位耆宿东部的穆隆尼前总理却出现在联邦媒体,谈论对抗气候变化的问题等。其实这就是对保守党大选表现及未来政策走向的检讨。



保守党党内对大选成绩不尽理想的个人责任之追究有需要,更重要的是对党内政策与社会期望的契合度,尤其是政党政策对国家未来发展的正面影响力度,这才是该诚挚检讨的方向和态度。LGBT问题以及堕胎问题甚至是大麻或其他硬性毒品合法化问题的应对,要匹配保守主义的理念和伦理并不很困难。加拿大毕竟是联邦制国家,保守党的利益也绝不仅限于西部,更忌讳以西部要挟全国;社会保守主义在新时代也应有良性发展,在国家经济发展和对抗全球气候变暖的现实应对上,保守党不仅该顺从潮流迈开步子,甚至该超越意识形态地走在前头引领国家和社会,唤起国民的信心,重新赢得选民的信任。这大概比毫无新意地追究几个人的责任、或简单换个党领,要有意义得多。民众想看到的,不是跟着媒体起劲地猜测谁是下任保守党领的热门人选,而是保守党借选新党领掀起全国性的政策辩论,进行国家未来方向的诚挚检讨。政策方向得到了民众的共鸣,即便选个年轻保守党人当领袖,照样能重现保守党的昔日之辉煌。

久违政坛的夏雷先生(Jean Charest),爱尔兰裔魁北克人,年龄并不老(60出头),却在20多年前当过保守党领袖也当过联邦副总理,最传奇的是曾代表自由党当过魁北克省长,以抑制魁独实现其联邦主义的政治夙愿。对保守党来说,避闪西部分离的偏激、平衡本国东西博弈的政治态势,前总理穆隆尼的爱将魁北克重量级政治人物夏雷Jean Charest,应该是理想人选之一。




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